Macro Trends

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 19, after a period of high-level consolidation, the crypto market saw a broad deleveraging pullback: BTC and ETH weakened in tandem, losses in altcoins widened, and risk appetite contracted quickly. The Fear & Greed Index slid from 49 to 44, with sentiment shifting from neutral toward fear, while spot gold continued to climb—signaling rising demand for safe havens. Among notable movers, DUSK rallied sharply on its mainnet rollout and expectations around RWA-related partnerships; NAM posted violent swings amid thin liquidity and a technical breakout; and FRAX drew inflows on the back of its rebrand and broader ecosystem expansion. Today’s alpha highlights included a structural signal from Ethereum staking—its entry queue reaching the highest level since August 2023 while the exit queue fell to zero—alongside a renewed debate between Ethereum and Solana over “ossification vs. evolution,” and growing attention to supply-chain style security risks tied to IDE auto-execution

Gate Research Daily Report: Bitcoin encountered resistance near USD 97,500, while Ethereum has been trading within a range between its key support level and the USD 3,300–3,400 resistance zone. ROSE surged 34.35% over the past 24 hours, driven by accelerating capital inflows into the high-beta “privacy + AI” narrative. ARPA rose more than 51%, with the rally largely reflecting shifts in market sentiment as 24-hour trading volume expanded sharply to USD 320 million. Alpha Edge Media, a subsidiary of Aether Holdings, has acquired the institutional-grade crypto communications and media platform Coinstack. To break out of its current malaise, the crypto market may require an expansion of ETF investment mandates, with leading assets rallying to draw retail attention back. The STH-NUPL indicator shows that new investors have remained in net unrealized losses since November 2025.

Why did Coinbase pull its support for the CLARITY Act at such a pivotal time? This article explores how the ban on stablecoin yields poses a threat to Coinbase's main sources of revenue and breaks down the industry's contrasting approaches to balancing regulatory clarity with space for innovation.

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 21, the crypto market continued to pull back and consolidate, with risk appetite cooling notably. BTC and ETH came under simultaneous pressure: BTC fell back to around USD 89,000 after breaking below its short-term moving average structure, while ETH saw a relatively larger decline and remains in a weak recovery phase, with major assets dragging on the overall index. On the thematic side, mid- and small-cap tokens such as AIA, MBG, and ARC moved against the trend, supported by narratives around AI agents, on-chain integration of traditional finance, and developer tools, highlighting clear structural divergence. From a structural perspective, Ethereum staking demand continued to improve, with unstaking pressure fading and the staked ratio approaching 30%; meanwhile, Solana’s staking ratio climbed to a record high of 68.8%, indicating that parts of the public-chain ecosystem are still attracting long-term capital. However, whether the broader market can stabilize will stil

Gate Research Weekly Report: BTC and ETH are consolidating at lower levels, with downside pressure easing but the broader trend yet to be confirmed. Capital is rotating toward lower-volatility assets and long-term narrative plays, while on-chain data shows continued accumulation by whales and sentiment remains in the extreme fear zone. Ondo has introduced tokenized equities and ETFs to Solana, further expanding RWA and on-chain securities use cases. Solayer launched a $35 million ecosystem fund focused on high-performance on-chain applications. Vitalik Buterin proposed a native DVT design to enhance decentralization in Ethereum staking. BGB, H, and MBG are set to see sizable token unlocks over the next seven days.

The article proposes three pathways for market recovery in 2026: institutions expanding Solana/XRP ETF investment ranges, wealth spillover from mainstream assets, and retail investors rotating back from AI/stock markets to crypto, strategically analyzing the key to liquidity diffusion.

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 23, BTC rebounded after a sharp sell-off that previously pushed it down to around $87,000, and is now consolidating within the $89,300–$89,900 range; ETH staged a technical rebound after falling to around $2,866, but retreated after facing resistance near $3,000 and is now moving sideways between $2,930–$2,980; GT, after rebounding from lower levels, is capped by resistance near $10.10 and continues to trade in a weak consolidation pattern; XRD led small-cap tokens with a surge of +60.19%. Meanwhile, South Korean authorities reported that BTC under custody may have been stolen in a phishing attack, involving around $47 million; Citi warned that the recent surge in Ethereum on-chain activity is likely driven mainly by “address poisoning” scams; and World Liberty Financial’s partnership with Spacecoin to launch the USD1 satellite DeFi project has drawn market attention.

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 26, crypto market sentiment fell into the extreme fear zone, with major assets under pressure and risk appetite continuing to contract. Mid- and small-cap tokens such as TAIKO, AUCTION, and BOB moved higher against the broader trend, driven by technical upgrades, capital rotation, and supply constraints, indicating localized sector rotation. Structurally, the SocialFi narrative is rapidly unwinding, with social tokens broadly down more than 90%; Bitcoin payments are seeing accelerated offline adoption in Las Vegas and other locations; and while on-chain stablecoin settlement volumes continue to expand, their share of real-world payments remains below 0.02%.

Gate Research Daily Report: Bitcoin remains in a controlled pullback for now, but its overall price structure is showing clear signs of fatigue. Ethereum is hovering around USD 2,900, while downside risks still warrant close attention. ACU surged more than 34%, driven by expanded market access. Axie Infinity’s launch of bAXS pushed AXS up by over 32%. Zerohash is in talks to raise around USD 250 million, with a potential valuation of USD 1.5 billion. Goldman Sachs expects the January FOMC meeting to be largely uneventful, with the first rate cut of the year likely starting in June. VanEck’s first AVAX spot ETF has been listed on Nasdaq.

Gate Research Weekly Report: BTC and ETH are consolidating after a pullback from recent highs; positioning has turned defensive, with flows rotating into steadier altcoin themes such as tokenized commodities/gold, payments, privacy, and DID. Ethereum continues to dominate tokenized commodity issuance with an 85% share. Long-term holders have accelerated distribution, marking Bitcoin’s strongest sell pressure since August. Prediction market volume hit a new all-time high, increasingly acting as an on-chain “expectations pricing layer.” Polymarket is driving a surge in USDC usage, and Mizuho upgraded Circle’s rating while highlighting its growth optionality. SUI is set to unlock roughly $60.94 million worth of tokens over the next 7 days, representing 11% of circulating supply.

After gold broke through the $5,000 mark, the liquidity constraints of traditional physical gold and paper gold have become more pronounced. This article offers an in-depth analysis of the asset mapping mechanisms behind tokenized gold (such as XAUt), detailing how these instruments facilitate cross-system transfers, asset portfolio integration, and on-chain payments while preserving full physical gold backing. It further examines the fundamental logic and long-term impact of gold’s transition from a safe-haven asset to “digital physical gold” and its potential role as a future currency.

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 30, the crypto market came under broad pressure, with Bitcoin falling below $82,000 and briefly dipping to around $81,000, while Ether retreated to the $2,700 level and remained technically weak. GT declined in tandem but showed relatively resilient downside, consolidating around the $9.20–$9.30 support zone. Despite weakness in major assets, selective capital rotation persisted, with small-cap tokens such as SENT and GWEI posting strong gains driven by AI and Ethereum infrastructure narratives. Meanwhile, a tech-led selloff fueled a cross-market risk-off move, alongside notable industry developments including Bit Digital’s exit from Bitcoin mining and the revival of The DAO with a $220 million Ethereum security fund.

Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino is capitalizing on the substantial profits generated by Tether’s stablecoin operations to accumulate physical gold on a massive scale, making Tether one of the largest gold holders globally outside of central banks. This article offers an in-depth examination of Tether’s strategy for converting stablecoin revenue into gold reserves, acquiring shares in concession companies, and expanding its gold-backed token XAUT, highlighting the company’s strategic positioning in macro-finance and currency competition.

The article clarifies the transition of funds from gold to crude oil, examines how liquidity crises and renewed tightening expectations from the Federal Reserve are weighing on gold prices, and provides practical guidance for prioritizing energy assets over gold in prolonged market scenarios.

Gate Research Daily Report: On February 4, the crypto market continued to face broad pullback pressure, with major assets generally trading under strain. On the thematic side, capital remained concentrated in high-beta plays tied to AI and onchain infrastructure narratives. ARC rallied strongly on renewed attention around the “Rig” framework for AI builders, ALCH gained momentum on the back of AI workflow and agent tooling infrastructure themes, while ENSO drew interest for its cross-chain execution abstraction and one-stop DeFi execution layer concept. At the macro and industry level, the Puell Multiple has entered a historical discount zone, signaling increased miner stress but gradually improving long-term accumulation value. Gate Ventures announced a strategic investment in the crypto payment network Mesh, strengthening its positioning in stablecoin and payment connectivity infrastructure. Meanwhile, Vitalik reiterated that Ethereum L2s should shift away from the original “brand sharding” vision toward mo